Stealing Farmville's thunder one player at a time. 1 down, 80 million to go.
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You Need a Multi-Channel Strategy: Platform Owners Don't Care About Developers
The solution is for developers to make their game, ahem, THE PLATFORM, and make everyone else a *player* acquisition tool. People who really play your game, rather than merely use it like an affect-less junkie, will find their way to your stand-alone version on the web to do the biggest transactions, with only a 2.5% credit card fee to cramp your style. While they might spend more play-time on the mobile version, they might post and find newsfeeds and requests from games on Facebook via FB Connect, the core data defining their investment and performance will be centrally processed in your own data base. There's no reason why you can't take advantage of the multiplicity of distribution channels and make yourself a master rather than a slave. Commoditize these competing corporations, find your people.
If you consider yourself an "iPhone game developer" or a "Facebook game developer" or a "Flash game developer" (where you rely on game portals and sponsorship for your income) you might as well say: "I am a slave that works for an organization that doesn't care about me and has no legal obligation to pay me". You need to build a franchise that can cross channels so you're not dependent on any one company that doesn't care about you; you need a direct channel that you control; you need to make growing the direct channel one of your main strategic goals. Short term revenue will always favor people who specialize on one platform but they can also die overnight.
Prototype to Finished Product: if the prototype takes 2 weeks the full game takes 3 months.
Having spent just two weeks to develop the prototype for the Experimental Gameplay Project, I expected the iPhone version to take about a month. The actual development time was in fact over three months, from early November to mid-February.
What's your experience? Is it normal for the full game to take 6 times as long as the playable prototype? I bet just about every developer finishes their prototype and figures that the full game will take at most twice as long. Ouch. Read the full article at Games Brief or check out Greedy Bankers on iPhone.
#Android Fragmentation Finder! High End Devices Dominate Market Share for Apps
We know Android market share is trumping ahead. But with so much fragmentation developers need to know which handset to target. Stealthcopter's Nexus Revamped Live Wallpaper app will work on pretty much any Android handset, and gets strong reviews. It's free and here's how its downloads break down by handset:
It's mainly downloaded on high end and new Android handsets suggesting that:- Either most Android handsets in the wild are high end OR that its the high end owners that are likely to download apps
- Most people download apps when they first get a phone, hence lots of new phone models on the list OR Android market share is rising so rapidly that most Android phones in the wild are pretty new
I found this surprising. I expected Android's growth to be driven by low end handsets. It's still possible that handset market share is driven by low spec handsets, which don't translate into app sales and accounts for the generally low sales in the Android Marketplace. But who knows? If you have any data on the market share of various handsets within Android please share in the comments.
Casual game developer Popcap sees Apple revenues double in 2010
Mainly off the back of one game (Plants vs. Zombies) but:
- For the first time, feature phone game revenues are down.
- Not much joy from other smartphone platforms. To be fair Popcap tend to be late adopters and don't have any Android games out yet. Maybe 2011 will be the year for Android games.
I've heard that Apple's App Store accounts for 83% of mobile software sales, despite its falling share of the handset market.
How In App Purchase saved Flower Garden (via @noel_llopis)
Kiip’s Novel Take on Mobile Gaming Advertising: Rewards When Players Hit Achievements
The San Francisco based mobile advertising network gives gamers real-world rewards when they hit certain achievements in a game. Companies like group deals startup Homerun.com can offer free goods from local businesses while Sephora can give make-up samples to gamers when they level up. The company has rounded up other big brands like popchips, Sony Dash, Vitamin Water, 1-800-Flowers, Dr. Pepper, GNC, Carl’s Jr and Hardee’s.
People are suckers for this kind of offer. If you tell somebody they've earned "a free lunch" then they'll believe you, even after they read the small print and see: "offer valid when another main course of equal or greater value is purchased. Offer valid Monday-Thursday." It's a nice friendly half way point between pure nag advertising and in app purchases. Read the full story at Inside Mobile Apps.
Engaged social gamers "play for 2 months before moving on"
Given the long life each of these titles enjoyed and Playfish’s continuing success through its other games, it seems like we can draw three conclusions. First, social games don’t last forever no matter how well-designed they may be. Developers tend to build products that the hope will last indefinitely, but according to research published in Inside Virtual Goods: The Future of Social Gaming 2011, engaged users only play game for about two months before moving on. If a developer isn’t bringing new users into a game to replace them or attracting old users back either with content iterations or marketing campaigns, the decline continues and a developer reaches a point where it’s not financially reasonable to maintain a game that isn’t making money.
This is for games that have good retention: two months is the amount of time a social game can keep its audience interested. For this definition of social game I mean the cartoony, Flash games the Playfish and Zynga specialize in. It might be a different story for games like Mousehunt that are less intense and require less commitment. At the same time Playfish and Zynga know what they are doing -- and perhaps burning out the your player over a 2 month period is the most profitable strategy. The whole article is worth reading. It's here.
Virtual Goods (Black) Market worth $3 Billion. 75% of Sales through Gold Farmers.
Gamers in China and Vietnam who stockpile game currencies to sell to Western players now make up around 75 percent of the global virtual goods market. According to a report [PDF] by The World Bank, the virtual goods market is now worth at least $3 billion. "Gold farmers", or those players who collect in-game currency to sell to other players, should be encouraged as these services could aid development in poorer countries, the report suggests.
And this $3 billion dollar market isn't made entirely out of garages either. There are some big businesses built on virtual currencies:
Dozens of Chinese virtual item retailers now make around $1 million each year from the practice, with nearly a dozen retailers making as much as $10 million on a yearly basis.
Full story on Gamasutra. You might also be interested in Cory Doctorow's novel For the Win. Set in the near future, it's 50% a fascinating look at the possible future of virtual currency markets, and 50% a cloying parable for worker unionization (I'm more interested in money and power than workers and welfare). He even gives out the ebook for free.
All Games are Social Games -- in 2008, Word of Mouth Most Effective Form of Promotion (thanks @h_a_l_e_x)
The data proved that word of mouth ranked highest of all methods buyers used to make purchase decisions. This was followed by retail, online demos, reviews, and advertising and promotion. When the word-of-mouth category was examined further, the data revealed that friends were approximately twice as likely to influence the purchase decision as family members. Friends were also among the most trusted of all forms of purchase influence.
Another interesting nugget. 21% of gamers are "influence multipliers" -- that is, they're the sneezers most likely to spread the germs in your viral marketing. In 2008 these were veteran gamers:
"Compared to all video gamers, Influence Multipliers are a hyperinfluential subset of friends who are also far more connected to other gamers," said Dan Gallagher, senior vice president, Insight & Analytics at Waggener Edstrom Worldwide. "As a result, Influence Multipliers have an outsized network influence effect on their gaming colleagues. By targeting the media channels that Influence Multipliers rely on, marketers can optimize their marketing spending."
So when you're marketing your game (in 2008) it makes sense to win over committed and networked gamers if you want to reach the mass market. Perhaps this is why so many of the most successful games are bewildering and way too hardcore for more casual players. Read the full report from the past.
Will Android have more apps than iPhone by 2012? (If only they'd SELL!)
- 300,000 iPhone apps
- 130,000 Android apps
If 2010 growth rates continue through 2011 then by the end of the year we'll have:
- 822,000 iPhone apps
- 633,000 Android apps
Then by the end of 2012:
- 2.2 million in the iPhone
- 3 million on Android
If only Android apps would sell we could all agree that Anroid really was on the way up and leaving iPhone in the dust. If they don't start selling soon Android won't attract the kind of app store growth it's seen so far.




